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* Dave McKinney and Tina Sfondeles…
One month after staging a primary upset, Republican Darren Bailey is struggling to reel in supporters of a top Republican primary rival and has yet to log a six- or seven-figure campaign contribution in his fall fight against billionaire Gov. J.B. Pritzker.
Compounding Bailey’s troubles, hedge-fund billionaire Ken Griffin, who put $50 million into the failed candidacy of Aurora Mayor Richard Irvin, doesn’t intend to write any checks to the downstate Republican state senator in his battle to unseat the Democratic governor.
“Ken will not be backing Darren Bailey,” Griffin spokesman Zia Ahmed told WBEZ. “He believes Richard Irvin was the best candidate for governor of Illinois.” […]
Some signs point to the possibility Irvin himself will endorse Bailey soon. […]
“Quite frankly, I’ve never met Sen. Bailey, so that’s an issue. I generally don’t support people I don’t know,” said Gidwitz, finance chair of Donald Trump’s 2020 Illinois presidential campaign and the former Trump-appointed ambassador to Belgium.
* Mike Miletich…
The Pritzker campaign says Bailey is happy to use police officers when it is convenient, but the senator’s voting record shows he has done little to benefit law enforcement.
Still, Illinois FOP President Chris Southwood said his organization is considering endorsing Bailey in the governor’s race. Southwood said Bailey has done everything he can to alleviate concerns from members. He explained Bailey wants to protect police pensions and pledged to support union agreements for the FOP.
Controversial Chicago Lodge 7 President John Catanzara said Bailey admitted he doesn’t know everything and needed to be informed by law enforcement to know what they needed. Catanzara stressed that change needs to occur in Springfield and Chicago to address rising crime. He claimed Illinois has been a nightmare since the SAFE-T Act took effect and Democrats passed the plan from a “50,000-foot overview” because it was all about emotions.
“I can tell you Sen. Bailey has been more involved in trying to understand what the problems are, what needs to be addressed in that than every other politician that helped craft it, pass it, and sign it.”
* WBBM…
The head of Chicago’s police union is throwing support behind Republican gubernatorial candidate Darren Bailey — and traveled to southern Illinois to do it.
“One of the first conversations we’ve had was about pensions and the concerns about pensions — and promises made need to be promises kept,” John Catanzara, president of Fraternal Order of Police Lodge 7, said at an appearance Wednesday with the state senator in O’Fallon.
Catanzara said Bailey admitted to him he need to learn more about the issues, a candor that’s unusual in politics.
* Jerry Nowicki…
A new poll from the firm Morning Consult showed Gov. JB Pritzker’s approval rating at 51 percent among Illinois voters, or seven points “above water” in polling lingo.
It’s the latest quarterly poll from the firm, and data included 14,258 registered voters polled from April 1 through June 30.
While it’s a truism of polling that any poll is just a “snapshot in time,” Pritzker’s numbers have been remarkably consistent in the Morning Consult measurements since January 2021. His approval has ranged from 50 to 51 percent while disapproval ranged from 43 to 44 percent.
President Joe Biden’s approval rating in Illinois as measured by the same firm, however, is an example of how quickly public sentiment can change.
Morning Consult distributed the polling results under the headline “Democratic Governors Facing Re-Election Are Resisting Biden’s Drag Effect.” The firm measured Biden’s approval at 47 percent in Illinois while disapproval measured at 50 percent.
…Adding… WCIA…
According to a poll released Friday by Chicago-based polling company Victory Research, Governor J.B. Pritzker fell below 50% approval while leading against Republican candidate for governor Darren Bailey by nearly 10%.
The poll found that 48.9% of respondents said they would vote for Pritzker, while 39.0% said Bailey had their vote.
The poll also found that 47.3% of respondents said Pritzker deserved a second term. Victory Research previously found in January 51.7% said Governor Pritzker deserved a second term.
* Meanwhile, Bailey has an op-ed in the Tribune…
Chicago is still a great city, but it is a city in decline. The good news is that enacting better policies will stop the decline and reverse the current trends.
School choice would force public schools to fight for students and funding and end the complacency that hurts our kids. Instead, let’s empower parents to choose where to send their kids to school. Let’s enable kids in crisis to escape failing schools and get the education they deserve. Consigning kids to failing schools based on where they live is cruel and wrong. We must end these destructive policies and stand up for our kids as a compassionate society. Reducing crime begins with giving families a real choice in education.
But…
Senator Bailey criticizes student performance in Chicago Public Schools. But compare those to outcomes in the North Clay district (on whose board he served for years) and you see similar results. pic.twitter.com/47ZKwP0Kxk
— John Amdor (@JohnAmdor) August 1, 2022
posted by Rich Miller
Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 10:16 am
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Someone should remind the ILGOP that Rauner claimed to have no problem with unions as well and look what happened once he got in office.
It is funny that right wing law enforcement types get suddenly liberal when it comes to unions and pensions. The pocketbook is always king.
Comment by Big Dipper Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 10:27 am
An Illinois governor polling positively is itself an oddity.
Comment by Nick Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 10:30 am
“ Instead, let’s empower parents to choose where to send their kids to school.” (but not let parents chose where to take their kids for brunch, because we need to protect them from drag shows)
“Let’s enable kids in crisis to escape failing schools and get the education they deserve.” But when it comes to kids in the crisis of an unwanted pregnancy, well kid, you can’t get the medical treatment you deserve.
It will be interesting to see what Bailey’s thoughts are on the police pensions once he “learn(s) more about the issues”.
Comment by Henry Francis Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 10:30 am
ILGOP should read ILFOP. Freudian slip?
Comment by Big Dipper Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 10:30 am
I don’t think it got any coverage while you were away, but Irvin’s quarterly showed him taking a lot of small recurring donations from people all over the country. I assume Irvin didn’t tell those folks he was fully funded by a billionaire. Whatever problems there are with Pritzker self-financing, at least he doesn’t take outside donations. He definitely doesn’t take monthly donations from people much poorer than him.
Good riddance to that whole scene.
Comment by vern Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 10:31 am
It’s an easy enough deal to make. Scott Walker won office on a promise to destroy public sector unions except police and fire, for whom he pledged undying support.
Looking forward to the first Bailey-Vallas joint campaign event.
Comment by Roadrager Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 10:34 am
“Chicago is still a great city, but it is a city in decline.”
What a way to start the week, with the Chicago Tribune’s suburbanite editors giving space to the state’s rural welfare queens in order to run down the city that props all of them up financially.
Good stuff.
Comment by Larry Bowa Jr. Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 10:35 am
Has anyone confirmed that Pritzker will not back him either?
(I still find that action was a disgrace to democracy.)
Comment by Lurker Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 10:42 am
pritzker 58%
Bailey 40.5%
Comment by Blue Dog Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 10:44 am
First,
John Amdor doing John Amdor things. You’re the goods, well done.
To the post?
Well, this is not “your dad’s GOP”… of your mom’s either.
You have out of state influences like Proft imploding any sense of what the ILGOP was… and going back to Oberweis’ own assault on the base GOP, to devolve to this new “base GOP”…
I don’t identify with Bailey, his ilk, and I do mean… ilk… and this party, in this state and nationally… I don’t identify with this base or who they are.
The implosion will either lead to a rebirth or an erosion so bad it’ll never recover. That’s all on them… as Proft cashed checks to keep you down.
Comment by Oswego Willy Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 10:46 am
==The implosion will either lead to a rebirth or an erosion so bad it’ll never recover. That’s all on them… as Proft cashed checks to keep you down.==
Even if this movement of hateful, willful ignoramuses implodes at the state level, success at the national level, which appears more likely than ever, will render that implosion moot.
Bailey could lose worse than Rauner in November and still be poised to be a bigger winner than ever come January of 2025.
Comment by Roadrager Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 10:53 am
===Bailey could lose worse than Rauner in November and still be poised to be a bigger winner than ever come January of 2025.===
How?
Illinois likely ain’t turning “Trump Red” or be overrun by an overwhelming support in the GA with insurrection apologists, conspiracy theorists and racist thinkers.
Look at DuPage, for openers.
Comment by Oswego Willy Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 10:55 am
Bailey was touting the need for ‘pension reform’ earlier- does that mean he’s looking to cut pensions for everyone except cops?
Comment by Morty Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 11:07 am
==Chicago is still a great city, but it is a city in decline.==
Bailey appears to have raised his assessment to ‘Heckhole’. /S
Comment by Jocko Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 11:07 am
Raunerites don’t like the rural GOP base and tried to fool it repeatedly, so no surprise that Griffin won’t back Bailey. Dude definitely had any anti-Fair Tax mojo wiped out. Voters saw right through the phoniness.
Comment by Grandson of Man Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 11:08 am
There’s still three months to go to the election but it’s going to take something big for Bailey to get back into this. Maybe the Republicans will try to invent some kind of scandal they can tie JBP to. Looks like everything is going to plan for JBP.
Comment by The Dude Abides Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 11:09 am
Looks like Beetle Bailey is trying to take a page from the Glenn Youngkin playbook. I’m skeptical that it will work here in Illinois though.
Comment by Gruntled University Employee Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 11:09 am
So one of the IQOP sugar daddies won’t support their candidate. Why am I not surprised.
Comment by Huh? Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 11:11 am
==Maybe the Republicans will try to invent some kind of scandal they can tie JBP to==
DeVore has been trying to resurrect the Thornley story but it seems stale at this point.
Comment by Big Dipper Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 11:17 am
==How?
Illinois likely ain’t turning “Trump Red” or be overrun by an overwhelming support in the GA with insurrection apologists, conspiracy theorists and racist thinkers.==
2016 got the Republicans a “truth-proof” hold of power at the federal level. Within the first two years, they expanded it to “hypocrisy-proof.” A 2025 trifecta plus a 6-3 court means they will set about very quickly on making it “election-proof.”
“But not in Illinois/California/New York” will not be particularly relevant when a federal abortion ban and numerous, uh, “anti-election fraud” measures are on the books before the end of January amid a mass purge of civil servants.
If that happens, Bailey gets to stack wins for the remainder of his days without having to worry about a single election.
Comment by Roadrager Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 11:21 am
Lollapalooza over, Bailey’s Complainapalooza begins. Without new ideas to change things.
Comment by Amalia Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 11:28 am
Even billionaires have a limit on how much money they are willing to set on fire…
Comment by Friendly Bob Adams Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 11:35 am
“ Consigning kids to failing schools based on where they live is cruel and wrong.”
So, I can live in the city, and send my kids to New Trier?
And since it is cruel and wrong, I would assume that transportation funding would be part of undoing that cruelty.
Is that what Bailey supports? Sounds like it.
Comment by Chris Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 11:38 am
===But not in Illinois/California/New York” will not be particularly relevant when a federal abortion ban and numerous, uh, “anti-election fraud” measures are on the books before the end of January amid a mass purge of civil servants.
If that happens, Bailey gets to stack wins for the remainder of his days without having to worry about a single election.===
How exactly will Illinois find itself facing these challenges as this state wholly rejects Trumpkin and Republican meddling.
You need to actually win Illinois ejections.
If the state goes 14-3 in Congressional seats, all the statewides, even winning the ILSC races… what exactly do you think is gonna happen “here”
If what you say is truthful to any degree of realization, the country will have failed anyway, no?
There’s “no good ending” here for Bailey. Nope
Comment by Oswego Willy Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 11:39 am
= Chicago is still a great city, but it is a city in decline. =
Google apparently doesn’t think so.
Comment by JoanP Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 11:41 am
===will not be particularly relevant when a federal abortion ban and numerous, uh, “anti-election fraud” measures are on the books before the end of January amid a mass purge of civil servants.===
A great many of your worries require 60 Senate votes. Not seeing that anytime soon
The civil servant worry is only if Trump can win, and frankly Trump trailing Biden right now, and under his own legal issues… how far you think Trump can go?
Comment by Oswego Willy Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 11:48 am
==Chicago is still a great city, but it is a city in decline.==
Come on just say it, you know he wants to…
Make Illinois Great Again.
Comment by Bruce( no not him) Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 11:56 am
A quick note. Cash bond hasn’t ended, and Chicago increased their police budget, the literal opposite of defunding. But this didn’t stop the Tribune from printing these easily verifiable falsehoods.
Cool.
Comment by Dee4Three Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 12:16 pm
To polling,
If Pritzker is above water and up 7+ points head-to-head with Bailey, what does Bailey do to introduce to voters his vision that not only eats into Pritzker’s above water snapshot *and* also eat into the lead Pritzker enjoys?
Bailey cheers the end of Roe, was endorsed by Trump, and at one point wanted She-Caw-Go to be its own state… or if he (Bailey) wins, he’ll appoint an “ambassador-like” person to Chicago.
Where is Bailey, and his Crew, thinking these things mean victory?
Comment by Oswego Willy Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 12:20 pm
I wonder if the Libertarians’ Scott Schutler (their governor candidate) has called up Griffin and asked him to pony up some $$$ for him and his ticket?
Comment by Just Sayin Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 12:23 pm
If parents could choose to send their kids to any school, the good schools would go broke trying to educate all those extra kids. Now it cost a parent at least $5,000 to send their child to a public school outside of their home school district. Low income parents cannot afford that.
Would the “good” school have to transport the kids who don’t live in their school district? Would the home school pay to transport all those kids to different “good” schools? Will the parents transport their kids to school?
Comment by Mama Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 12:28 pm
Bailey’s LTE includes this blatant inaccuracy:
“Another company to leave Chicago is Caterpillar, which is moving to Texas.”
Maybe everything north of I-80 is “Chicago” to Bailey, but in an op-ed running down the city’s alleged failings he includes a company decamping Deerfield.
Due to the position he currently occupies, his piece deserved from the editor more scrutiny and an expectation of meeting basic factual standards than say an LTE from Oak Lawn retiree Joe Schmoe.
Comment by Moe Berg Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 12:31 pm
I can see why JB spent 30 million in the Republican primary and donated 90 million to his campaign.
It is going to take a lot of misdirection to tout your accomplishments as Governor of the state with the 4th highest unemployment, weakest economic growth in the Midwest and escalating violent crime.
Comment by Lucky Pierre Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 12:49 pm
John Amdor’s tweets make me think about State Senator Bailey’s close association with the private school, Full Armor Academy. I’m assuming that the schools of Full Armor are pulling students from North Clay, Effingham, and probably Teutopolis, public school districts. I think as Mr. Bailey refers to vouchers should provide information explaining his and his family’s association with Full Armor as well as how his “plan” will affect that association.
Comment by Merle Webb’s jumpshot Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 1:10 pm
===There’s still three months to go to the election===
Early voting starts next month.
Comment by someonehastosayit Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 1:38 pm
JB will probably use some of his millions to just point out that you’re wrong, Lucky. I mean, IL’s growth isn’t as high as blue state Hawaii or California but it’s still doing better than IA, OH or WI while also having double the GDP per capita of any of those states.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/andrewdepietro/2022/05/17/us-gdp-by-state-and-fastest-growing-states-by-gdp-growth/?sh=3c16a1425a72
Comment by Chicago Blue Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 2:04 pm
==Bailey appears to have raised his assessment to ‘Heckhole’. /S==
Good one, Jocko. The next upgrade must be ‘Shuckshole.’
Comment by Anonymous Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 2:23 pm
At 2:32 was me. Apparently have forgotten how to post in the last 2 weeks.
Comment by Streator Curmudgeon Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 2:24 pm
Statements and claims based on actual facts used to be the norm…before Lucky?
Comment by Dotnonymous Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 2:26 pm
===It is going to take a lot of misdirection to tout your accomplishments as Governor of the state with the 4th highest unemployment, weakest economic growth in the Midwest and escalating violent crime.===
… and yet… you still live here.
Then who’s the fool?
You will be voting for Bailey, correct?
Comment by Oswego Willy Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 2:28 pm
=Bailey admitted to him he need to learn more about the issues, a candor that’s unusual in politics.=
Based on the following comment I think someone made up the above comment…
=School choice would force public schools to fight for students and funding and end the complacency that hurts our kids=
Bailey knows less about education than he does about most anything else. School choice is a boondoggle for the wealthy and that is it. Being from rural Illinois (if he really is, He sounds like he is from Kentucky) he should know what a joke the choice issue is given the long distances for travel. And, families do have choice, they can relocate.
Comment by JS Mill Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 3:34 pm
==to just point out that you’re wrong, Lucky==
That’s a daily occurrence around here.
Comment by Demoralized Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 4:20 pm
I agree with JS Mill.
This school choice thing seems like a way for the wealthy to scoop up tax dollars in order to subsidize their own children’s expensive private education. Darren and his family run their own Christian schools, and I’m sure would love to funnel tax dollars into their operation.
Comment by Phil Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 4:23 pm
=
Comment by JS Mill Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 4:33 pm
Sorry , accidently hit send on that last one.
=I’m sure would love to funnel tax dollars into their operation.=
@Phil is spot on. The ayatollah Bailey hates gubmint money unless he is getting it.
Comment by JS Mill Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 4:35 pm
Can always count on Lucky for comic relief.
Comment by Big Dipper Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 5:22 pm
Bailey has so much GOP backing. He would want/get the Sullivan votes, who might agree very much with him (God, anti-abortion and police).
But where does that leave GOP-type voters who are repulsed by Trumpism and are more moderate, like those who helped Biden win? Seems like a demo the Pritzker campaign can get votes from.
Comment by Grandson of Man Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 6:03 pm
== I can see why JB spent 30 million in the Republican primary and donated 90 million to his campaign.==
So, why were Republicans counting on Griffin’s $300M, then?
Comment by Arsenal Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 7:55 pm
Does “giving parents a choice” in what school their children go to include giving them vouchers to send them to Full Armor Christian Academy in Louisville? Wait, isn’t Bailey the president of the Full Armor Christian Academy board of directors? I wonder if he would divest himself from the school if elected.
Comment by Fivegreenleaves Monday, Aug 1, 22 @ 8:17 pm