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7,042 new confirmed and probable cases; 95 additional deaths; 3,179 hospitalized; 661 in ICU; 5.0 percent average case positivity rate; 6.2 percent average test positivity rate; 24,190 average daily doses administered; No regions in Tier 3 mitigations

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* This is a huge increase in the number of cases (4,979 yesterday), but the positivity rates still look OK for now. We’ll see. Press release…

The Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH) today reported 7,042 new confirmed and probable cases of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Illinois, including 95 additional deaths.

Currently, IDPH is reporting a total of 1,093,375 cases, including 18,615 deaths, in 102 counties in Illinois. The age of cases ranges from younger than one to older than 100 years. Within the past 24 hours, laboratories have reported 125,831 specimens for a total 15,209,516. As of last night, 3,179 in Illinois were reported to be in the hospital with COVID-19. Of those, 661 patients were in the ICU and 348 patients with COVID-19 were on ventilators.

The preliminary seven-day statewide positivity for cases as a percent of total test from January 15–21, 2021 is 5.0%. The preliminary seven-day statewide test positivity from January 15–21, 2021 is 6.2%.

Beginning today, IDPH has adjusted reporting probable cases, which caused an artificial one day increase in cases of 1,903. Previously, only confirmed deaths were included in the total case count. However, the total case count includes both confirmed and probable cases. Therefore, probable deaths are now being included in the total case count. Confirmed deaths and probable deaths will still be reported separately.

As of last night, 922,325 doses of vaccine have been delivered to providers in Illinois, including Chicago. In addition, approximately 524,050 doses have been allocated to the federal government’s Pharmacy Partnership Program for long-term care facilities. This brings the total Illinois doses to 1,446,375. IDPH is currently reporting a total of 616,677 vaccines administered, including 93,683 for long-term care facilities. Yesterday, a total of 44,288 doses were administered. The 7-day rolling average of vaccines administered daily is 24,190 doses.

*All data are provisional and will change. In order to rapidly report COVID-19 information to the public, data are being reported in real-time. Information is constantly being entered into an electronic system and the number of cases and deaths can change as additional information is gathered. For health questions about COVID-19, call the hotline at 1-800-889-3931 or email dph.sick@illinois.gov.

* Meanwhile…

The Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH) today announced Region 4 (Bond, Clinton, Madison, Monroe, Randolph, St. Clair, Washington) is moving to Tier 2 effective today. All 11 regions have now moved out of Tier 3 mitigations. If metrics continue to improve or are stable, regions 10 and 11 are on track to advance to Tier 1 on Saturday, January 23, 2021. Information about which tier and phase regions are in can be found at the top of the IDPH website homepage.

“With all regions of Illinois now out of Tier 3, we can now see that the entire state is headed down the right path,” said IDPH Director Dr. Ngozi Ezike. “During the summer, we were on this same path. We know that we must continue to take precautions and be smart about how we relax some of the mitigation measures, which are in place to protect our health and safety.”

“We are pleased to hear our region as whole is trending in the right direction,” said St. Clair County Board Chairman Mark Kern. “We will continue to advocate to our residents to mask up, wash their hands, and stay safe so we can continue to increase capacity at our hospitals and reduce our positivity rates. We appreciate the work and partnership of IDPH and Governor Pritzker.”

IDPH will continue to closely monitor test positivity, ICU bed availability, and the number of people in the hospital with COVID-19. Should data show regions trending in the wrong direction, based on the established mitigation metrics, regions could once again find themselves in a higher tier with increase measures.

The governor’s press conference today is focused on youth sports. Stay tuned for updates.

posted by Rich Miller
Friday, Jan 22, 21 @ 12:20 pm

Comments

  1. Did anyone hear that one young reporter’s question about Chicago-area restaurant tours this weekend–whether they’ll be able to still have them? Talk about a potential superspreader event. Crazy.

    Comment by Essential State Employee Friday, Jan 22, 21 @ 12:42 pm

  2. There is vast community spread already… opening up restaurants WILL result in an increase in cases. This should be no surprise to anyone. Cases WILL go up again.

    Comment by Incandenza Friday, Jan 22, 21 @ 12:44 pm

  3. Will county once again outpacing the 50% larger in population DuPage county.

    But that’s totally normal, because according to our astroturfer yesterday, there are no retirement homes in DuPage county. Or something.

    Or maybe DuPage doesn’t have an antivaxxer on the county public health and safety committee.

    Comment by TheInvisibleMan Friday, Jan 22, 21 @ 12:46 pm

  4. DPH made a change in the way probable cases are reported. That should account for the large increase in new cases reported.

    Comment by Graybeard Friday, Jan 22, 21 @ 1:07 pm

  5. “The 7-day rolling average of vaccines administered daily is 24,190 doses.”

    “The United States Census Bureau estimates that the population of Illinois was 12,671,821 in 2019″ - Wikipedia

    12,671,821 / 24,190 = 524 days

    I sure hope they ramp up vaccinations. I don’t want to wait until next year.

    Comment by Steve Polite Friday, Jan 22, 21 @ 1:44 pm

  6. I did the same calculation as @Steve Polite - yeah, 15 months to herd immunity isn’t on. Glad to see that the National Guard will be activated to assist, that’s something positive. But we need to be vaccinating much bigger numbers - around 2 million - 4 million per month to achieve herd immunity by the start of the next school year. (Keeping in mind that the first two approved vaccines required 2 shots)

    Can the vaccine supply keep up? Can local county health departments find/ train the personnel to administer the shots?

    Comment by dbk Friday, Jan 22, 21 @ 2:28 pm

  7. There aren’t 12 million Illinoisans over 16 years old; (currently the vaccine isn’t even permitted for those under 16.)

    And we know that 20%, perhaps more, will refuse it.

    So everyone who wants the vaccine will get it within a year even if the rate doesn’t ramp up.

    I believe they’ll it going faster, though.

    Comment by Ryan Friday, Jan 22, 21 @ 2:49 pm

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