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6,516 new cases, 68 additional deaths, 3,594 hospitalized, 755 in ICU, 8.2 percent case positivity rate, 9.9 percent test positivity rate

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* Press release…

The Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH) today reported 6,516 new confirmed cases of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Illinois, including 68 additional deaths.

Currently, IDPH is reporting a total of 430,018 cases, including 9,878 deaths, in 102 counties in Illinois. The age of cases ranges from younger than one to older than 100 years. Within the past 24 hours, laboratories have reported 82,435 specimens for a total 7,958,856. As of last night, 3,594 people in Illinois were reported to be in the hospital with COVID-19. Of those, 755 patients were in the ICU and 326 patients with COVID-19 were on ventilators.

The preliminary seven-day statewide positivity for cases as a percent of total test from October 27 – November 2 is 8.2%. This is the number that IDPH has been consistently reporting in its daily releases and is calculated using total cases over total tests. Similar to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, IDPH has been using test positivity for regional mitigation metrics on its website since mid-July. Test positivity is calculated using the number of COVID-19 positive tests over total tests. On October 29, 2020, IDPH began reporting the statewide test positivity in its daily releases. The preliminary seven-day statewide test positivity from October 27, 2020 – November 2, 2020 is 9.9%.

Case positivity and test positivity rate are both relevant and offer insight into the bigger COVID-19 picture. Case positivity helps us understand whether changes in the number of confirmed cases is due to more testing or due to more infections. Whereas, test positivity accounts for repeated testing and helps us understand how the virus is spreading in the population over time.

*All data are provisional and will change. In order to rapidly report COVID-19 information to the public, data are being reported in real-time. Information is constantly being entered into an electronic system and the number of cases and deaths can change as additional information is gathered. For health questions about COVID-19, call the hotline at 1-800-889-3931 or email dph.sick@illinois.gov.

posted by Rich Miller
Tuesday, Nov 3, 20 @ 12:59 pm

Comments

  1. Jeffery Softcheck, who crunches the data at http://covid-dashboard.fsm.northwestern.edu/ , has predicted ICUs statewide will be completely full by Thanksgiving (with some areas reaching that earlier).
    We gotta do better, people…

    Comment by Stu Tuesday, Nov 3, 20 @ 1:16 pm

  2. The Eastern Bloc Election Day Special. I hate it!

    Comment by Precinct Captain Tuesday, Nov 3, 20 @ 1:17 pm

  3. Winnebago county has more deaths than cook county.

    When is reality going to hit some of these officials.

    Comment by TheInvisibleMan Tuesday, Nov 3, 20 @ 1:31 pm

  4. My family is already hunkered down. The few trips we make out are becoming more dangerous.

    We seem to have lost control. Unfortunately, the Covidiots are going to take the rest of us down with them.

    Comment by Last Bull Moose Tuesday, Nov 3, 20 @ 3:16 pm

  5. This weekend I had a conversation with someone who opposes closures, masks, etc., as a way of suppressing the spread of COVID-19. My interlocutor referred to the 1918 pandemic as an example. Here is what followed:

    Me: People forget the 1918 pandemic because it didn’t create any structural change in the nation. It didn’t create any structural change because, although individuals died, institutions did not have to change. Knowledge and skills are distributed broadly through the population. Let’s say an elementary school teacher died. There were already other potential elementary school teachers, trained and available, to take the place of the dead. The institutions could still function. So once the second wave passed, the dead were only remembered by close friends and family members.

    Interlocutor: Perhaps that’s the way it should be.

    – Does that help explain what we’re seeing in Illinois?

    Comment by Comma Chameleon Tuesday, Nov 3, 20 @ 4:41 pm

  6. The Chicago Metro Area with 2/3rds of the state’s population has only a quarter of the recent deaths. Downstate is being ravaged.

    Comment by striketoo Tuesday, Nov 3, 20 @ 4:53 pm

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