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1,209 new cases, 53 additional deaths

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Illinois

* Press release…

The Illinois Department of Public Health (IDPH) today announced 1,209 new cases of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in Illinois, including 53 additional deaths.

- Christian County: 1 female 80s
- Cook County: 1 male 30s, 1 female 50s, 4 male 50s, 4 females 60s, 6 males 60s, 1 unknown 60s, 2 females 70s, 6 males 70s, 2 females 80s, 1 male 80s, 4 females 90s, 1 female 100s
- DuPage County: 1 male 50s, 1 male 70s
- Kane County: 1 female 90s
- Kankakee County: 1 female 40s, 1 male 80s
- Lake County: 1 male 40s, 2 female 60s, 4 male 60s, 2 males 70s, 1 female 90s, 1 male 90s
- Will County: 1 female 80s, 1 male 80s, 1 male 90s

DeWitt, Effingham, and Jersey counties are now reporting cases. Currently, IDPH is reporting a total of 8,904 cases, including 210 deaths, in 64 counties in Illinois. The age of cases ranges from younger than one to older than 100 years.

posted by Rich Miller
Friday, Apr 3, 20 @ 2:42 pm

Comments

Sadly, we are moving towards the peak whether we like it or not.

Comment by Chicago Cynic Friday, Apr 3, 20 @ 2:44 pm
This web site is sobering. You need to select Illinois from the dropdown. Projecting over 3,300 deaths in Illinois through August.

https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections

Comment by DuPage Dave Friday, Apr 3, 20 @ 3:07 pm
I look at the daily numbers and they go up and down seemingly the result remains total cases and deaths go up. Either way I’ll rest easy once we finally hit our peak. I hate that in this context I’m talking this way.

Comment by Levois Friday, Apr 3, 20 @ 3:08 pm
Updated graph:
https://bit.ly/3bGGnpX

A couple of interesting data points:

Known IL Covid-19 Cases:
March 21 - known cases double in approximately 3 days (March 24)
March 24 - known cases double in approximately 3 days (March 27)
March 27 - known cases double in approximately 4 days (March 30)
March 30 - if same new number of cases (roughly 1200) is the same tomorrow
it will have taken 5 days to double

New IL Covid-19 Cases:
New cases doubled in one day (March 25 to March 26) from 330 to 673
Since March 26 we have yet to see a doubling (although we have been close:
March 29 there were 1105;
April 3 there were 1208)

Comment by Diver Down Friday, Apr 3, 20 @ 3:09 pm
Growth in confirmed cases of COVID-19 took five days to double, which is an improvement.

Comment by 588-2300 Friday, Apr 3, 20 @ 3:13 pm
Coming up on 2/3rds of Illinois counties with cases. And we haven’t hit the peak yet.

Comment by Anyone Remember Friday, Apr 3, 20 @ 3:23 pm
===took five days to double, which is an improvement===

Means nothing. It’s taking a week or more to get some test results back.

Comment by Rich Miller Friday, Apr 3, 20 @ 3:34 pm
Because of the tremendous lag in testing, the data coming in now represents what happened 7-10 days ago. The worst is yet to come.

Comment by Chicago Cynic Friday, Apr 3, 20 @ 3:36 pm
Ugh. 18.5% of tests are positive.

===which is an improvement. ===

To elaborate off of what Rich has implied, we have a significant issue with data validity caused by a lack of available testing and capacity to review or analyze those tests which has created an artificial bottleneck.

The virus through community spread is exponential, however our ability to expand testing capacity is not — and the CDC has made very strict guidelines for who can get tested. It has been reported about the number of people that have symptoms that are basically just told to sit at home and call back if it gets worse — even healthcare providers are in this pool.

I keep posting about the percentage of total positive tests because it’s relevant as the criteria for testing remains stringent, the population that qualifies for testing continues to present a higher ratio of infection. For the last several days that percentage has been climbing.

I know that’s a bad indicator.

Just because the forest in front of you isn’t burning doesn’t meant the forest behind you isn’t on fire.

We don’t have enough data to get the full picture, and that’s why Ohio made the prudent choice to shut their buckeyes down after only 5 confirmed cases. They had enough to confirm community spread and that was it, they weren’t going to buckeye around.

Meanwhile we have states like Iowa where they’re pretending the data they are receiving is comprehensive and using it to justify not taking broader action.

There are reasons to be optimistic, and the stay the heck home strategy does work, but we are literally standing in front of a wave of this pandemic that is about to wreak havoc on our communities.

Just because things aren’t as bad in Chicago as they are in New York doesn’t mean Chicago is better off than New York and all of those folks in this state pretending that this is a Chicago problem are about to find out that prayer meeting they went to or that Corona party they attended was a terrible idea.

Don’t be the dog sitting in the burning bar.

Comment by Candy Dogood Friday, Apr 3, 20 @ 4:06 pm

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