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How the race for Senate President is playing out

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* This was my last syndicated newspaper column before the holiday break. Subscribers were given some updated numbers and other news today

State Sen. Steve Landek of Bridgeview and other Senate Democrats have been meeting since the 2018 session as part of a loosely affiliated group that calls itself the “X Caucus.” They apparently didn’t know what to call themselves, so “X” filled in the blank.

The X Caucus is comprised of some of the more conservative Senate Democrats. Some are not 100 percent pro-choice, some are hesitant or even unwilling to vote for tax increases, and most think the party has veered a bit too far to the left.

It’s possible the group could have enough votes to team up with a current Senate president candidate and elect the successor to retiring Senate President John Cullerton, or prevent an election until their demands are met. There are a whole lot of officially undecided Senate Democrats still out there, even though the three top candidates for Senate president, Kimberly Lightford, Don Harmon and Elgie Sims, have been working members.

But there’s also a long time to go until senators vote to elect their new president near the end of January, so that loosely affiliated caucus could be picked apart by the time the voting starts. We’ll see.

It should also be pointed out that Landek is very close to House Speaker Michael Madigan. The other members of that caucus are, for the most part, not Madigan-haters, either. Just saying, but Madigan has never seen an Illinois political situation he didn’t want to influence.

Sen. Elgie Sims, D-Chicago, began expressing interest in becoming the next Senate president not long after Cullerton announced his pending retirement in mid-November.

Sims’ name hasn’t been mentioned very often lately in news accounts, but he’s still campaigning. It’s possible that at least some members of a loosely aligned group of a half dozen or so independent-minded, younger liberal senators may wind up backing him.

Six votes is far from the number required to win the election, of course. It will take 30 votes when all is said and done. But combine that with the “X Caucus” votes and it might be enough to slow down or even stop the process. Whether the caucus’ two wings can learn to fly together is a whole other story.

Sims has only been a senator since January of 2018, but he was on Senate staff for a decade, rising to the top of the appropriations staff before serving in the House for almost six years. He’s a budget expert and knows the process back and forth. Even so, convincing senators who have “paid their dues” for many years to support somebody who basically just got there for Senate president will be a big ask, no matter how talented Sims may be (and he most certainly is talented).

Meanwhile, some members with primaries and general elections are likely becoming antsy as the president election process enters its second month this week and their own reelections draw near. One way of calming those nerves is to demonstrate fundraising abilities. Sims, however, has reported no contributions in the past month.

Sen. Lightford, D-Maywood, held five fundraisers in the month following Cullerton’s retirement announcement and reported $649,000 in contributions last week. About $215,000 of that was from the personal campaign funds of herself and Sens. Andy Manar and Heather Steans (plus a contribution out of Steans’ own pocket), her top supporters. She’ll report another $36,000 in contributions under the immediate reporting threshold next month, I’m told.

About 80 percent of the money she and her team raised was for the Senate Democratic Leadership Fund, which is designed to support Senate Democratic campaigns. The rest is for her personal fund.

Lightford’s haul is less than the $755,000 that Assistant Majority Leader Don Harmon has reported raising in the same time period. But that total is inflated because it includes a $100,000 loan from Harmon to his personal campaign committee (Harmon has not created a leadership committee). Harmon also nearly emptied out three party committees he controls to the tune of $285,000. Harmon reported 44 individual contributions (including the personal loan), which is just a fifth of Lightford’s donor base of 213. He’s supposed to be reporting more money soon.

The biggest outside contribution Harmon received was $100,000 from a journeyman plumber’s union. Lightford raised a bit of money from the Illinois Education Association for her personal fund. Otherwise, unions appear to be taking a wait and see approach.

One knock on Lightford has been that she doesn’t have a history of raising big money, so doubts naturally arose about whether she could do it. But she and her team have proved otherwise during this first month.

* Related…

* Raising sons who became daughters is a shared story for Kim Lightford, Heather Steans: When some hear about Zariah, they offer misplaced sympathy, Lightford said. They say, ‘“Oh, I’m so sorry, are you OK?’” She replies, “Don’t feel sorry for me, and don’t say you’ll pray for me. I don’t need you to pray for me because my baby is transgender. I need you to either learn all about it, or just go on.”

* Who will lead IL Senate?

posted by Rich Miller
Monday, Jan 6, 20 @ 9:14 am

Comments

  1. I’m so happy that Lightford and Steans’ daughters are able to live as their authentic selves.

    Comment by RIJ Monday, Jan 6, 20 @ 9:24 am

  2. ==They apparently didn’t know what to call themselves==

    …or have any ideas on how to make up for the budget (and pension) shortfall.

    Comment by Jocko Monday, Jan 6, 20 @ 9:55 am

  3. All members are going to care about, especially those up for election, is that Harmon has $2.2 million to spend on primary elections on Jan 20 and Lightford has $800k.

    Comment by SYSK Monday, Jan 6, 20 @ 10:21 am

  4. ==All members are going to care about, especially those up for election, is that Harmon has $2.2 million to spend on primary elections on Jan 20 and Lightford has $800k.==

    If that were true, Harmon would be seen as the overwhelming front runner. Also, Manar, Steans, and Munoz wouldn’t have endorsed Lightford.

    The Illinois Democratic Party is asking itself a lot of questions: Does leadership diversity matter? How do we shed the ‘corrupt’ tag that the GOP pins on every chance they get? Who is best suited to get Fair Tax over the finish line?

    This is nuanced and not at all easy. Much more is weighed than just who can raise the “most” money.

    Comment by MG85 Monday, Jan 6, 20 @ 10:36 am

  5. There are many aspects and nuances in play.

    It is no secret that many newer members had not even met or interacted in a meaningful manner with Sen. Lightford before this dynamic started. While she does have some influential members backing, she heretofore had made no effort at all to assist others members. They noticed. Her holed up in her office style doesn’t scream Senate President. Perhaps why she hasn’t put this away and some of her support appears “soft”.

    Harmon may well be able to cobble enough votes together and he has shown himself to be a master at moving Legislation as well as a record of assisting others, a prerequisite for this kind of job.

    The X Caucus, Elgie Sims, et. al. could force a compromise candidate. LOTS of time and moving parts left here.

    Comment by After Further Review Monday, Jan 6, 20 @ 10:53 am

  6. Beautiful story about the senators’ daughters. It also explains the unique relationship they’ve formed while serving together.

    Comment by Shytown Monday, Jan 6, 20 @ 11:21 am

  7. “primary money”

    Those who have a primary opponent already know about it. So those are the only ones concerned now. How much the others care about the future I can’t say.

    The one’s with a primary this time are likely to be targets for lots of lobbying and butter up by the candidates.

    Having 2.2 vs .8 Is surely a better place to be.

    Comment by Fav human Monday, Jan 6, 20 @ 11:24 am

  8. Harmon has the gravitas and resources to be an effective Senate President…After Further Review has said it well…

    Comment by Loop Lady Monday, Jan 6, 20 @ 12:58 pm

  9. Members that have a primary need to know the next Senate President can raise $$$ and understands the politics.

    Comment by ETown60120 Monday, Jan 6, 20 @ 3:43 pm

  10. == Having 2.2 vs .8 Is surely a better place to be. ==
    Having raised over $800k in just a few weeks (and without personal loans and calling in debts) with the overwhelming majority of it going to support your colleagues surely sends the right message at the right time

    Comment by Shytown Monday, Jan 6, 20 @ 4:16 pm

  11. “…with the overwhelming majority of it going to support your colleagues surely sends the right message at the right time”

    I’m unaware of any info to suggest Lightford has ever given money directly to support her colleagues. What evidence do you have that she’s given any of this new money to her colleagues?

    Comment by Anonymous Monday, Jan 6, 20 @ 4:47 pm

  12. == Having raised over $800k in just a few weeks (and without personal loans and calling in debts) with the overwhelming majority of it going to support your colleagues surely sends the right message at the right time ==

    Shytown/Becky - you probably should disclose that you’re being paid to write these comments?

    == Having raised over $800k in just a few weeks (and without personal loans and calling in debts) with the overwhelming majority of it going to support your colleagues surely sends the right message at the right time ==

    I really don’t think you want to compare Harmon and Lightford if we’re talking about money and/or political support for their colleagues over the years.

    Comment by NotBecky Tuesday, Jan 7, 20 @ 12:53 am

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