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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Friday morning fundraising report

Friday, Oct 31, 2014

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- Posted by Rich Miller   Comments Off      


It’s not anything new, but that doesn’t make it Kosher

Friday, Oct 31, 2014

* The Tribune editorial board commented today on a DCEO spokesman’s admission this week that the agency is trying to get new project announcements out the door before election day. You remember that one, right?

“We have a good story to tell — and do I want to tell it before Nov. 4? Yes. Is that a crime?”

* From the Trib

As Crain’s pointed out: Quinn committed $22 million to four companies this month alone.

Did taxpayers get snookered in the rush to roll out these projects before Nov. 4? Did the companies slyly extort especially sweet packages, knowing that Team Quinn faced a pre-election deadline to get the deals done?

Those are good questions for Gov. Quinn. Inquiring Illinois taxpayers surely want to know.

Yes, those are good questions.

* But back to the DCEO spokesman for a minute. Longtime commenter “Soccermom” made this valid point the other day

Being an effective government spokesperson is not actually intuitive — you need to learn (preferably not the hard way) that whenever somebody mentions an election, you refer them to the campaign office. Boom. End of story.

It’s not an issue of “telling the truth.” It’s an issue of knowing where your paycheck comes from. And when you work for the State, your paycheck comes from the residents of Illinois — no matter who they vote for, or even if they vote.

Are the people of Illinois paying you to comment on the election? No, they are not. They are paying you to let them know what the State is doing with their money. That’s your job. Period.

Yep.

- Posted by Rich Miller   15 Comments      


Polling averages, models, projections, etc.

Friday, Oct 31, 2014

* Huffington Post

* Real Clear Politics

* Talking Points Memo

* Bing.com

* USA Today

* ElectionProjection.com

* 270toWin.com

* More from Sabato

That brings us to the seven Toss-ups. Because we now expect overtime in Georgia, we are calling that race a Toss-up, but at the end of the day it would be surprising if the Democrats ultimately won that seat. Also, and while we are keeping these races as Toss-ups in our ratings, it appears that Govs. John Hickenlooper (D-CO) and Pat Quinn (D-IL) have stabilized their positions, and they seem to have better than even odds to win second, full terms. So that’s three of the seven Toss-ups where we think the incumbent party is positioned to hold on, though we have not made picks yet and we reserve the right to change our minds before the end. Sen. Mark Udall’s (D-CO) seeming decline, in particular, could really hurt Hickenlooper.

Gut feeling?

- Posted by Rich Miller   101 Comments      


Today’s number: $3.5 million

Friday, Oct 31, 2014

* I told subscribers about this earlier in the week

A race for a seat in the Illinois Senate representing the Quad-Cities has become the most expensive legislative election in state history.

According to state campaign finance reports, the 36th Senate District battle between Democratic state Sen. Mike Jacobs of East Moline and Republican challenger Neil Anderson of Rock Island has topped the $3.5 million mark as the two hurtle toward the Nov. 4 election.

That figure, according to political scientist Kent Redfield, professor emeritus at the University of Illinois-Springfield, beats a record-breaking 2010 Senate race in which $2.7 million was raised in the contest in which Republican challenger Sam McCann of Carlinville beat then-state Sen. Deanna Demuzio.

The Jacobs-Anderson tilt comes just two years after Jacobs was involved in another expensive race, when more than $2 million was raised in his contest against Republican Bill Albrecht.

…Adding… But that’s a relative pittance compared to the governor’s race…



- Posted by Rich Miller   20 Comments      


Rauner makes “Top 10″ robocall list

Friday, Oct 31, 2014

* From the New York Times

NoMoRobo, a free service, allows VOIP customers to sign up to block political robocalls, which get around the national “Do Not Call List” because they fall under the nonprofit clarification.

The service’s founder, Aaron Foss, put together a list for First Draft of the top 10 offenders:

* The list

No. 1: Presidential Coalition (an affiliate of the nonprofit conservative group Citizens United).
No. 2: N.R.A.
No. 3: Crossroads GPS (founded by Karl Rove).
No. 4: Democrats for Senator Mark Warner and John Foust (a House candidate in Virginia).
No. 5: Newt Gingrich Tax Policy Center.
No. 6: National Committee for Family, Faith and Prayer (a Citizens United affiliate).
No. 7: Citizens United.
No. 8: Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin.
No. 9: Larry Hogan, Republican nominee for governor in Maryland.
No. 10: Bruce Rauner, Republican nominee for governor in Illinois.

- Posted by Rich Miller   26 Comments      


Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Cable TV buy report and a spending update

Friday, Oct 31, 2014

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Protected: SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today’s edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)

Friday, Oct 31, 2014

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Good morning!

Friday, Oct 31, 2014

* Whatever happens next Tuesday, whoever wins, whoever loses, whatever this beautifully insane state ends up looking like, we’ll still have Neil Young and Eddie Vedder

Don’t feel like Satan,
but I am to them

- Posted by Rich Miller   26 Comments      


PREVIOUS POSTS »
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Friday morning fundraising report
* It's not anything new, but that doesn't make it Kosher
* Polling averages, models, projections, etc.
* Today's number: $3.5 million
* Rauner makes "Top 10" robocall list
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Cable TV buy report and a spending update
* SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - Today's edition of Capitol Fax (use all CAPS in password)
* Good morning!
* Yesterday's blog posts

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